59,000–$59,100: Intraday low point—strong short-term support; if it breaks below, watch for $56,000.

2. $60,000: A round-number psychological level plus support; currently being tested repeatedly

3. $56,000: The Q4 2024 bottom; strong medium-term support

Resistance (from near to far)

1. $61,800–$62,000: The upper intraday trading range; weak resistance in the short term

2. $65,000–$67,000: First rebound target; a technical rebound rather than a trend reversal

3. $71,900: The 100-day moving average; the medium-term bull-bear dividing line

Indicator signals

• 4H RSI=26.59: Deeply oversold—strong rebound demand, but reversal needs volume confirmation

• Weekly structure: Broke below the 200-week moving average—medium-term momentum weakens; treat rebounds as an opportunity to short

IV. Today’s trading plan (short-term)

• Trading range: $59,100–$62,000

• Long: Lightly buy on a pullback to $59,500–$60,000, stop loss at $58,800, target $61,500–$62,000

• Short: Short on rebound at $61,800–$62,000, short while under pressure; stop loss at $62,500, target $60,500–$59,500

• Key reminder: An oversold rebound is not the same as a trend reversal; with a weak weekly trend, rebound height is limited—watch out for a second retest of the lows
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