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Last night, I was staring at a bunch of address profiles until my eyes hurt, tags, clustering—it's basically just "weather forecasts," don't treat them as IDs.
An address labeled as "smart money" might just have hit the right rhythm by chance; it could also be that a hot wallet on an exchange was split, and the algorithm started to go haywire.
And don't forget, many people now deliberately split their holdings or move mixed coins, so even the most accurate profiles can be fed fake data.
I personally trust the "actions" of fund flows more: sudden multi-chain bridging during the same period, depositing into derivatives margin, then sweeping through DEXs—these at least look like real activity.
During those extremely high fee days recently, the group argued whether to reverse or keep squeezing the bubble; I saw on-chain there were two groups pulling against each other, and arguing over tags is pointless...
I'm just someone staying up late watching liquidation lines, anyway, I'd rather trust a little less and keep more margin.