#分享美股交易赢英伟达股票

Amazon Demonstrates Relative Resilience Amid Major Drop
Yesterday, Amazon's stock continued its recent correction trend, closing at $246.03, down 3.06% from the previous trading day. The intraday low touched $245.78, and the rebound peaked at $256.38, resulting in a wide daily trading range. Trading volume significantly increased to 55.6078 million shares, indicating heightened market sentiment volatility. Main reasons for the decline include:
‌Overall market pressure‌: The Nasdaq plunged 4.18%, tech stocks were broadly sold off, and Amazon, as a leading stock, was affected accordingly;
‌Technical correction‌: The stock previously rebounded rapidly above $250 but faced profit-taking pressure;
‌Capital rotation‌: Some funds shifted from high-valuation tech stocks to defensive sectors like gold and utilities.
‌Technical indicator analysis‌
‌Trend and moving averages‌:
The stock price broke below the 30-day moving average ($265.53), establishing a short-term bearish pattern;
The 200-day moving average ($231.83) provides long-term support, and the medium-term upward trend remains intact.
‌Momentum indicators‌:
‌RSI reading 41.55‌: Approaching oversold territory (30 being the critical threshold), indicating short-term downward momentum is easing;
‌MACD histogram‌: The negative region expanded but did not signal accelerated decline, caution for potential bottom divergence.
‌Options market signals‌:
‌Bullish options concentrated at the $275 strike‌: Open interest for contracts expiring June 5 reached 18,699, suggesting large funds anticipate a rebound;
‌Put/call ratio 0.658‌: The market leans optimistic overall, with limited bearish strength.
‌Key support and resistance levels‌
‌Support levels‌:
‌Strong support at $245.78‌: Today's intraday low; a break below could target $240 (short-term correction target);
‌Ultimate defensive level at $231.83‌: The 200-day moving average, a break below could trigger a deep correction.
‌Resistance levels‌:
‌Short-term resistance at $250‌: Psychological barrier + recent rebound resistance; a breakout requires increased volume;
‌Core resistance at $265–275‌: The 30-day moving average + dense options area; a breakout would confirm a reversal.
‌Market outlook‌
‌Short-term (1-2 weeks)‌:
Oversold technically (RSI <42) combined with support at $245, suggesting potential for a rebound, but volume confirmation needed. If Nasdaq continues to fall or market sentiment worsens, the price may dip toward $240.
‌Medium to long-term (3-6 months)‌:
Fundamentals remain strong:
‌AWS cloud business‌: Q1 revenue grew 28% YoY, fastest in 15 quarters, driven by AI investments boosting profit margins;
‌Advertising business‌: Leveraging user data, becoming a key player in digital advertising;
‌Prime membership system‌: User stickiness continues to strengthen, supporting recurring revenue.
Analysts’ average target price is $312.79 (+27.1% upside), but watch out for high capital expenditures (Q1 spending of $43.2 billion) impacting cash flow.
‌Trading recommendations‌
‌Stock traders‌:
‌Aggressive strategy‌: Build positions around $245 in batches, with stop-loss at $243 (below intraday low), targeting $255–$265;
‌Conservative strategy‌: Wait until the stock stabilizes above $250 and volume rebounds before entering, avoiding left-side trading risks.
‌Options traders‌:
‌Buy short-term call options (e.g., AMZN20260612C255) to bet on technical rebound;
Sell put options (e.g., AMZN20260612P245) to collect premiums at support levels.
‌Risk management focus‌:
Position size ≤10%, avoid concentrated bets;
Monitor US CPI data on June 10; if inflation exceeds expectations, market volatility may intensify.