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Time seems to fly, and before I knew it, I’ve been in the crypto world for almost a year. When I first started trading signals, I was actually pretty clumsy—just sharing some of my views on the market, and still not sure whether I was right. You start to doubt yourself easily, and you’re even more afraid that my views might lead people who trust me to lose money. It feels like a dead end: if you fail, you’ll deny yourself; only by succeeding can you truly believe in yourself.
At the beginning, when I first firmly decided to follow my own judgment to trade signals, most people said Bitcoin was going to hit 200k. With so many big shots, KOLs, and KOL streamers flooding the market with talk of a savage bull market, could I really trust myself? That can only be proven with time. At least the outcome has been okay—this round of the bull market, although not perfect, can be considered a success.
In the early days, I was able to judge that a bear market was coming, but I also couldn’t hold on for long. My understanding couldn’t support me to keep holding. With my limited level, as long as I was profitable enough and the market’s noise overwhelmed me, I would still question myself. But with my skills improving and the market’s direction being validated, it gradually became clearer and clearer to me that I was correct.
Looking back, even though closing positions early meant missing out on a lot of profit, the experience and growth from validation during that period can’t be changed. Next time, my experience will be richer, and I’ll definitely perform better than in the previous round.
In the last bull market, I shorted near the top, but I didn’t manage to hold all the way to the bottom. Next cycle, if I can go long at the bottom and again reach the top, then I’ll count it as truly having mastered it. Our growth—let’s wait and see.
There’s a saying I’m not sure if it’s true, but I find it quite useful: people can only earn money within the limits of their understanding. Things beyond that understanding—even if you have them for a time—will also be lost.