I’m increasingly convinced that the difference between grid/DCA and a one-shot trade isn’t really “who makes more money,” but more like choosing a posture that lets you sleep. If you’re the kind of person who panics without watching the market, a one-shot trade is actually simpler—wins and losses are fast and decisive. But if you’re the type to suddenly wake up in the middle of the night and think, “Should I cut my losses?” then grid/DCA is probably more friendly; at least your emotions aren’t so easily pierced through by a single needle.

Lately, people have been constantly discussing expectations for rate cuts and the U.S. dollar index, and yet risk assets still rise and fall in sync… To put it simply, once the correlation tightens, a wave of liquidations starts to look more like a chain reaction. At times like this, I’d rather let my position grow slowly on its own than bet my fate on the thought that “tonight it has to have a direction.” After all, when slippage is big, decisions made in the moment are even more likely to get distorted. In any case, I like volatility—but I want to keep living.