Historically, Bitcoin has been based on the 4-year cycle concept that starts with the halving.

After the entry of ETF funds, there were strong opinions that this cycle would end—but based on current developments, it looks like it is continuing.

So, based on the cycle’s progression, we are in a Bear Market, which is expected to last until October–November, coinciding with the U.S. midterm elections, and it’s expected to be pure chaos.

Historically, Bitcoin records a peak and then drops back to levels close to the previous peak (it recorded 126, and the previous peak was 68), but it’s noticeable that it broke the previous peak and fell to 58K earlier, and this morning it was at 61K.

Some people take advantage of the drop to try to prove that Bitcoin is over or has no value—and this happens every time. It’s nothing new.

Real Bitcoin investors are happy at these prices, because they give them an opportunity to increase their share. Not long ago, I saw talk about how the 100 “K” level “might” be left behind forever, and I clearly remember how angry the Bitcoin community was that they didn’t own enough and wanted better prices.

And I remember my friends’ conversations…

“If it only drops to 80, I’ll buy.”
“If it only drops to 70, I’ll buy.”
“If it only drops to 60, I’ll buy.”

In reality, this is weak emotional talk. If someone wants to buy, they buy—using DCA or other methods—without hesitation.

So, DCA investors are actually fortunate, because they invest every paycheck to buy Bitcoin. And lower levels are undoubtedly better for them, because they allow them to accumulate a larger amount.

The goal of every real Bitcoin holder is the largest possible share of Bitcoin, and the average cost doesn’t matter to them.

Okay, here’s the answer to a question:

“We invested our time in Bitcoin and didn’t benefit from other opportunities.”

First question for you: Is your Bitcoin holding 100% of your portfolio? Because I’m impossible to put all my money into a single asset.

So, the question is illogical. Also, with market inflation and the current state of assets, there is no asset that can provide “huge” returns in the future.

A market drop doesn’t necessarily mean the investment thesis changes, and a rise doesn’t mean every investment decision was correct. Confusing short-term price movement with the value of an asset over the long term is one of the most common mistakes in investing.

The thesis is still in place and hasn’t changed. And Bitcoin is still the best future bet for the current generation. Its delayed “explosion” doesn’t change this, nor does it change that it remains the best future hedge against the dollar and inflation.

It’s natural: when the market is falling, anyone who doesn’t understand Bitcoin shows up and starts talking—but during a rise, they disappear themselves.

So my eternal question is:
Why do we only buy during rallies and at peaks? Why don’t we read about the asset during downturns and accumulate it at an attractive price?

I received several private messages from people who want to buy now and in the coming months. Huge greetings and respect to them.

In the end, I’m sharing my investment view, and it does not represent investment advice—whether it’s about selling or buying.

Everyone is 100% responsible for their investment decision. Their profit is theirs, and God forbid, their loss is theirs.

Wishing everyone the best…