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NVDA After the Blowout Quarter — Key Levels & What's Next

Nvidia just delivered a record Q1 FY2027: $81.6B revenue (+85% YoY), EPS of $1.87, data center hitting $75.2B. Yet the stock slipped post-earnings — for the fourth consecutive quarter after a beat-and-raise. The market's question isn't whether Nvidia is growing; it's whether the growth is already priced in.

Where We Stand Now

NVDA closed June 2 at ~$222.82, caught between a structurally bullish daily setup (trading above EMA20 $215.83, EMA50 $206.12, and EMA200 $185.53) and stalling momentum. The daily MACD has turned negative (-1.02 histogram), RSI sits at 58.79 — not overbought, but not screaming bullish either. The Bollinger upper band rejection at ~$233.99 tells you sellers step in hard near the top.

Key Levels to Watch

Resistance:

$225.48 — Daily pivot. Reclaiming this on a close is step one for any bullish continuation.

$229.62 — First major resistance. Needs recovering MACD histogram to confirm.

$232–234 — The real ceiling. The June 2 high of $232.28 tagged the Bollinger upper band and got rejected. ATH sits at $235.74.

$240+ — Breakout territory. Polymarket odds show 42% chance of NVDA hitting $240 in June. Consensus analyst target near $305.

Support:

$218.69 — First daily support. Holding here keeps the short-term bullish structure intact.

$215.83 — EMA20. A close below this seriously challenges the uptrend.

$199 — 60-day moving average zone. The deeper "no panic" floor.

$183–185 — Medium-term structural support / EMA200 area.

The Catalysts That Matter

RTX Spark PC Processor (June 1 launch with Microsoft) — Nvidia isn't just a data center company anymore. This opens the PC CPU market for agentic AI, a $200B TAM Nvidia has never pursued before.

Isaac Groot & Physical AI — Jensen Huang called humanoid robots a $40 trillion market. Nvidia's foundation model for robotics could become the "CUDA of physical AI."

Vera Rubin + Blackwell Ultra ramp — HBM "Big Three" all secured certification. Demand pipeline remains massive.

Jensen in South Korea (June 5) — Highlighting robotics as the next major sector. Institutional positioning around physical AI is accelerating.

The Risks That Can't Be Ignored

Broadcom's June 4 soft AI chip guidance ($16B vs. $17.2B expected) triggered a 14% AVGO selloff and dragged the entire semiconductor complex lower. If hyperscaler AI capex growth is decelerating even slightly, NVDA's premium multiple gets re-examined.

China is effectively gone — Nvidia conceded the AI chip market to Huawei, with zero China data center revenue in guidance. That's a strategic shift with long-term implications.

Taiwan chip smuggling investigation adds regulatory uncertainty.

Rising oil prices + Iran geopolitical tensions weigh on growth stocks broadly.

My Read

The base case is consolidation between $218–232 before the next directional move. Patience around the $225 pivot is the prudent play. If NVDA reclaim $225.48 on a closing basis with a recovering MACD, that's your signal to add. If it breaks below $218.69 with volume, wait for $215–216 before considering entries.

Nvidia's fundamental story is still one of the strongest in the market — sequential revenue acceleration where each quarter's dollar increase is bigger than the last ($46.7B → $57.0B → $68.1B → $81.6B). But "strong fundamentals" and "good entry point" aren't the same thing. Right now, the chart says wait for clarity.

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