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Gold is unafraid of fire—NVIDIA "reborn" amid AI plunge

NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $138.21 on June 4, 2026 (Eastern Time), up slightly by 1.94%, with a trading volume of $35.26 billion and 255 million shares traded, giving it a market capitalization of approximately $3.42 trillion. Against the backdrop of Broadcom's sharp decline dragging the semiconductor sector into a collective correction, NVIDIA defied the trend to close higher, demonstrating strong bullish resilience.

Market Summary

On that day, NVIDIA's performance was independent of the sector, mainly supported by the long-term certainty premium of AI chip demand: Broadcom's failure to raise AI revenue guidance sparked market concerns about slowing growth, which instead highlighted NVIDIA's leading barrier in generative AI computing power—its Q1 FY2026 financial report showed AI chip revenue grew over 200% year-over-year, with full-year guidance far exceeding market expectations and ample order backlog. Meanwhile, multiple institutions issued research reports after Broadcom's plunge, reaffirming "Buy" ratings on NVIDIA, believing the current AI computing power gap remains unfilled, and the demand for H200/H300 chips continues to outstrip supply, prompting funds to flow from Broadcom to NVIDIA, pushing the stock price upward against the trend.

Technical Indicator Analysis

RSI: The current value is 62, in a neutral to slightly bullish zone, not entering overbought territory, with bullish momentum still room to grow, and no clear reversal signals.

MACD Pattern: The red bars remain steadily expanding, with a clear bullish trend above the zero line. Although short-term volatility has decreased, there are no signs of bearish divergence or death cross, and the trend remains upward.

Bollinger Bands: Price is steadily moving between the upper and middle bands, with the bandwidth narrowing, indicating a consolidation phase without signs of overextension.

Moving Averages: The stock price remains above the 50-day moving average ($132.6) and the 200-day moving average ( $118.3), with a stable bullish alignment, and no technical breakdown risk.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Support Levels:

- First support at $135, the day's low and the options' dense trading zone, serving as a short-term bull-bear dividing line;
- Second support at $132, corresponding to the 50-day moving average, a short-term trend support;
- Third support at $120, aligned with the 200-day moving average, a core support for medium- to long-term bulls, with institutions generally positioned here.

Resistance Levels:

- First resistance at $140, the all-time high set in May 2026, serving as a short-term psychological resistance;
- Second resistance at $145, the target level given by most institutions for this round of rally, with call options densely stacked at this level;
- Third resistance at $150, a widely recognized psychological milestone for the next phase, breaking through could open new upside space.

Market Outlook

In the short term, NVIDIA will follow the overall sentiment of the AI sector, oscillating between $135 and $140 to digest floating positions. If subsequent Q2 earnings continue the current exceeding-expectations revenue growth or break previous highs, there could be an upward breakout. Conversely, if the AI sector's overall correction intensifies, a pullback to the $132 support before rebounding is likely. In the medium to long term, the growth logic of AI computing demand remains unchanged; global cloud service providers and tech giants continue to ramp up AI infrastructure investments. As the undisputed leader in AI chips with over 80% market share, NVIDIA's H300 chips have secured all orders for the second half of 2026, with growth prospects far exceeding peers. The current valuation already reflects most expectations, but there is still room for long-term upside.

Trading Recommendations

Short-term traders can try a light position around $135–$136, with a stop-loss below $132. If volume breaks above $140, consider adding to the position, targeting $145. Avoid chasing above $140 to prevent a correction triggered by resistance. Medium-term investors can gradually build positions, adding each time the price drops by 5%. NVIDIA, as the sector leader, is suitable as a core holding. If the price dips to $120–$125, increase positions further. Long-term holders need not worry about short-term fluctuations; NVIDIA is the core beneficiary of the AI computing revolution. If the stock price retraces to $110–$118, it presents a strategic golden opportunity to add, with a long-term target above $180.