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US-Iran Negotiations Still Stalled, Gold Prices Under Pressure

Focus on Gold:

Geopolitical Uncertainty in the Middle East and US-Iran Negotiations
Market Expectations for The Fed's Interest Rates Ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Data
Friday, June 5, 2026 – Gold prices opened weaker at $4,474 per troy ounce amid increasing investor caution regarding US interest rate prospects. Market sentiment remains influenced by geopolitical developments in the Middle East after Iran-backed Hezbollah rejected a new ceasefire proposal in Lebanon, while Israel affirmed it will not withdraw its troops from the region. At the same time, conflicting statements from the US and Iran regarding negotiation progress have also heightened market uncertainty and kept geopolitical risk premiums high.

Amid ongoing regional tensions, markets are also watching the impact on global energy prices. Rising oil prices could strengthen global inflationary pressures and prompt central banks to maintain tight monetary policies longer. Additionally, data shows that physical gold ETF funds in India recorded their first net monthly outflow in a year in May, reflecting investor profit-taking after gold prices rallied in recent months.

On the monetary policy side, several Federal Reserve officials continue to express hawkish views. Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Schmid stated that the options to hold or raise interest rates again remain open if inflation does not show a consistent decline toward the 2% target. Meanwhile, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly emphasized that the policy direction will heavily depend on economic data developments. The market's focus now shifts to the release of US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for May, which is expected to be an important indicator in shaping expectations for The Fed's interest rate outlook.

Technically, the nearest support levels for gold are around $4,427 to $4,379, while the nearest resistance is at $4,519 to $4,563. If selling pressure increases, deeper support is seen at $4,287, while medium-term resistance is in the $4,655 area.
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