#分享美股交易赢英伟达股票

Japanese and Korean stock markets plummeted; will the U.S. stock market follow suit tonight?

Recently, a prominent “difficulty” for crypto investors is Bitcoin’s sharp decline. Just now, after escaping the quagmire of the crypto world and shifting into U.S. stocks, tech stocks experienced a pullback, and today even the Japanese and Korean stock markets “crashed.” Today, the Japanese and Korean stock markets opened lower. As of 9:19, the Nikkei 225 index fell 1.39%, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index dropped 5.80%, with two major heavyweight stocks, Samsung Electronics, falling over 7% intraday, and SK Hynix dropping over 8%. The Korean exchange triggered a KOSPI circuit breaker due to a 5% decline in KOSPI 200 futures, pausing algorithmic trading for 5 minutes. So, will the U.S. stock market follow the decline tonight? How should the talented new traders on Wall Street respond? Let’s hear what Little God of Wealth has to say:

The crash of the Japanese and Korean stock markets today is not an isolated event but a chain reaction in the global semiconductor industry sentiment chain. The KOSPI index in Korea plummeted 5.8% in a single day, with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix tumbling 7% and 8% intraday, triggering a circuit breaker. Behind this is the market’s collective reassessment of the AI storage demand inflection point. This panic is transmitted to U.S. stocks through three core pathways:

Supply chain sentiment linkage: Samsung and SK Hynix are two of the world’s key suppliers of HBM (High Bandwidth Memory), directly supplying tech giants like Nvidia, AMD, and Intel in the U.S. stock market. When the stock prices of these two companies plunge, the market immediately interprets it as “potential slowdown in AI server memory orders”—a double blow compounded by Micron’s 7.74% drop yesterday due to weaker-than-expected Q3 guidance from Broadcom, forming a “demand + supply” double expectation collapse.

ETF capital outflows: The U.S. semiconductor ETF (SOXX) experienced significant net outflows in pre-market trading, with institutional investors systematically reducing exposure to the memory chip sector. Historical data shows that when Korean storage stocks fall more than 7% in a single day, SOXX tends to decline an average of 2.1% within the next 24 hours.

Futures market pre-pricing: As of 10:00 p.m. Eastern Time on June 4, Nasdaq 100 futures had fallen to 18,920 points, down 1.4% from the previous day’s close, with S&P 500 futures weakening in tandem. This indicates that global capital has completed sentiment pricing before the U.S. market opens tonight; the downward pressure at open is not “possible,” but “already happened.”

Currently, U.S. tech stocks, especially in the semiconductor sector, are on the edge of overvaluation and high expectations. Since 2026, companies like Nvidia, Micron, and AMD have seen their stock prices increase by over 80% cumulatively, with the market fully discounting the AI growth expectations for the next three years. Today’s decline is a forced correction of this “overextension.”

Micron’s Lesson: On June 4, Micron’s stock price evaporated nearly $90 billion in market value after it reported that Broadcom’s Q3 AI chip revenue guidance was below expectations ($16 billion vs. $17.2 billion expected). This reveals a deeper logic: the “demand” for AI chips is no longer driven solely by end manufacturers (like Nvidia), but is validated by upstream storage suppliers’ capacity and order confirmations. When SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics simultaneously signal “weak demand,” the market’s future revenue expectations for Micron and Nvidia will be systematically downgraded.

Technical pressure stacking: The RSI of SOXX ETF has been above 75 for three consecutive days, and the upper Bollinger Band is approaching historical highs. Today’s decline is a “double resonance” of technical “overbought correction” and fundamental “expectation adjustment.” This is not short-term volatility but the beginning of a trend correction.

No buffer in the macro environment: The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in June is as high as 96.4%, with liquidity expectations stable, but the market no longer has a “loose monetary narrative” as a safety cushion. In a high-interest-rate environment, tech stock valuations heavily depend on the certainty of future cash flows. When the certainty of AI storage is questioned, valuation models rapidly collapse.

Therefore, the U.S. tech stocks are expected to open down 1.2%–1.8% tonight, with SOXX ETF falling over 2.5%, and stocks like Micron, Nvidia, and AMD collectively under pressure. However, if Nvidia’s after-hours earnings (due June 10) surpass expectations or the Fed signals “no rush to hike rates,” the market may form a technical rebound after “panic overselling” around June 10.

Operational Suggestions:

Buy on dips: The current tech bull market is driven by the demand for computing power and chips brought by AI industry development. Although Broadcom’s Q3 receivables are below expectations, other giants’ earnings remain solid. The fundamental logic of this bull market has not changed, and the correction is a good opportunity to bottom fish.

Wait for signals: Focus on two key points:

June 10: Nvidia’s Q1 earnings release. If AI chip revenue exceeds expectations, market sentiment may quickly recover;

June 18: Korean semiconductor companies collectively release Q2 guidance. If Samsung and SK Hynix lower shipment expectations, U.S. tech stocks will enter a period of systematic valuation reassessment.