#WLD Arthur Hayes says the World Coin will rise to $10, but the data points to a different answer!

On June 3, Arthur Hayes set a $10 price target for World Coin. After the news was released, the token price rose by about 20%, moving from nearly $0.38 to approximately $0.46. However, to reach the target price, its fully diluted valuation would need to be $100 billion, while its current market cap is about $1.6 billion.
Of the existing 10 billion WLD tokens, about 3.4 billion are in circulation, and 66% are in a lock-up period. Last year, the token lock-up period was extended. The unlock pace in July 2026 will fall by about 43%, but insiders still unlock around 2 million WLD per day, and selling pressure is not reflected in the bullish chart.
World Coin announced the World ID 4.0 paid service model. A token burn mechanism has been integrated into the distribution mechanism, but it cannot determine the specific revenue amount that would support a $100 billion valuation.
Hayes has a history of bold predictions—he previously successfully predicted the upside of Doghat Coin—but World Coin has lock-up periods, a supply curve, and revenue issues, unlike meme tokens.
For the $10 target price to be reasonable, World needs to announce billions of dollars in revenue within 12 months. The token burn mechanism should offset unlocked tokens, and the paid service model should provide proof that the issuers of the proof of payment are paying.
If WLD falls below $0.30, you should cut losses; if World’s quarterly revenue exceeds $500 million and token burns outpace the rate of unlocked tokens, the target price is worth reassessing. Until then, stay on the sidelines. $WLD