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The US private credit market is experiencing a liquidity undercurrent that crypto traders are ignoring.
With the new quarter redemption window opening, Blackstone BCRED redemption requests hit a record high of 10%, Cliffwater's flagship fund redemption ratio rose to 17%, and Fitch data shows default rates reaching a historic peak of 6%.
PIMCO's Chief Investment Officer bluntly states: the first sustained credit default cycle in years has begun.
What does this have to do with crypto?
The $1.8 trillion private credit market is one of the largest capital pools in the past decade's low-interest-rate environment.
When this pool starts to leak, where will the funds flow?
Liquidity tightening in traditional finance often first impacts high-beta assets.
As one of the most liquidity-sensitive asset classes globally, crypto cannot remain unaffected.
Bitcoin is trading sideways at $63k, but the real pressure may come from this overlooked corner.
Counter risk: if the redemption wave triggers broader credit tightening, leverage in the crypto market will face passive deleveraging.
Don’t just look at on-chain data; cracks in the traditional credit market are the real gray rhino.
$btc #bcred #DeFi #链上数据 #Blockchain