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50% of Bitcoin Held by Investors Now in Floating Loss, Signal for Bottom?
More than half of the circulating Bitcoin supply is currently in a floating loss. According to the latest data, 50.1% of Bitcoin held by investors is in a loss, slightly higher than the 49.1% of supply still in profit. This shift occurred after Bitcoin plummeted to $64,000 on June 4, sharply down from its all-time high above $126,000 in October 2025.
This condition is clearly visible in the CoinDesk release of the Total Supply in Loss metric. Historically, the crossing of this data has always coincided with the bottom moments in major bear market cycles such as in 2011, 2015, 2018, and 2022. The surge in floating loss supply exceeding 10 million BTC often serves as an indicator of seller exhaustion before the price trend finally reverses upward.
However, market sentiment remains quite subdued with daily liquidations reaching $1 billion and ETF outflows totaling $4.3 billion. Amid this situation, analyst Dylan LeClair made a satirical statement, "Bitcoin is dead. Long live Bitcoin." While past track records provide strong reversal signals, skeptics warn that this metric more generally indicates the formation of a bottom zone, not an absolute low price point.