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The current market focus has shifted from "Will the bull market continue" to "Where is the bottom of the bear market."
Since October 2025, when the total market capitalization evaporated by $2 trillion, BTC has entered a long-term downtrend. The 200-week moving average has served as a key support level and has become a focal point of repeated battles between bulls and bears since February 2026. Institutions like Wintermute have emphasized its importance in judging the bottom.
What's more interesting is that trader Rekt Capital pointed out an coincidence: on June 13, 2022, during the bear market, BTC first touched the 200-week moving average; and the next time in 2026, it will touch it again, almost on the same date four years later.
This is not just technical analysis but may also imply that BTC is following some macro or liquidity cycle pattern, rather than just short-term fluctuations driven by sentiment.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCycle