#WLD Arthur Hayes predicts the world coin will rise to $10, but data shows a different answer!

On June 3rd, Arthur Hayes set a $10 price target for the world coin. After the news broke, the token price increased by about 20%, rising from nearly $0.38 to approximately $0.46. But to reach the target price, its fully diluted valuation would need to hit $100 billion, while the current market cap is about $1.6 billion.
Of the existing 10 billion WLD tokens, about 3.4 billion are in circulation, with 66% locked up. Last year, the token lock-up period was extended, and the unlock rate in July 2026 will decrease by about 43%, but insiders still unlock around 2 million WLD daily, and selling pressure is not reflected in the bullish chart.
World Coin announced the World ID 4.0 fee model, integrating token burn mechanisms into the distribution system, but the specific revenue needed to support a $100 billion valuation cannot be calculated.
Hayes has a bold prediction history, having successfully forecasted the rise of meme coins, but World Coin has lock-up periods, supply curves, and revenue issues, making it different from meme tokens.
To justify a $10 target price, World needs to announce billions in revenue within 12 months, with the token burn mechanism offsetting unlocked tokens, and the fee model proving that issuers of the proof of credential pay.
If WLD drops below $0.30, stop loss should be considered; if quarterly revenue exceeds $500 million and token burns surpass the unlock rate, the target price should be reevaluated. Until then, it’s best to stay put. $WLD