If NVDA drops to $100, do I dare to go all-in?

This is a thought experiment. I often ask myself: if tomorrow NVDA drops to $100 (halves) because of a black swan, do I dare to exchange all the USDT in my account for NVDA?

When I asked myself the first time, the answer was no. Because I would suspect: is there some negative news I don’t know about? Will it keep falling to $50?

Now I dare. Because I’ve studied NVDA’s balance sheet: abundant cash, a low liabilities ratio, and strong free cash flow. Even if the AI bubble bursts, its data center business still has real demand. For an annual growth rate of 30%+ , an NVDA priced at $100 with a P/E ratio under 20 is extremely undervalued.

This isn’t to say it will definitely rise to $100, but rather that if it truly reaches that level, I would treat it as an opportunity for “wealth redistribution.” When the market is panicking, that’s when rational investors are greedy.

Of course, “do I dare to go all-in” and “do I actually go all-in” are two different things. My strategy is: if it drops to $150, add to reach 1 share; if it drops to $120, add to reach 2 shares; if it drops to $100, add to reach 5 shares. I will average down in batches and never go all-in at once. Because no one knows where the bottom is.

This thought experiment is actually testing my confidence in a company. If you don’t dare to buy when it halves, it means you don’t really understand it, or you’re just betting on the trend. Only when you dare to add during a sudden crash do you truly “hold” it.

Gate gave me a very convenient tool: limit orders. I’ve currently placed a buy limit order at $120 for 0.1 share. If it gets filled, it means the market has given an opportunity; if it doesn’t get filled, it means NVDA has remained strong, and the position I hold is also making money. Either way, I can’t lose.

#分享美股交易赢英伟达股票