Why does Polymarket favor the Spurs more? Turns out the capital markets also understand basketball

Many people don't understand.
The Knicks swept the Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference Finals, with unstoppable momentum.
Why do prediction markets still give the championship probability to the Spurs?
The answer is actually very Wall Street.
Capital doesn't like surprises.
Capital prefers certainty.
The Spurs' biggest advantage is stability.
Their offense and defense systems are mature, and their rotation depth is more balanced.
They're the kind of top student who never performs exceptionally on exams but always scores 95.
And the Knicks?
They're the genius type on test day.
When they're in good form, they dare to beat anyone.
When they're out of form, they dare to lose to anyone.
For capital,
stability is more valuable than passion.
So, the 66% support rate is not fundamentally because the Spurs are stronger.
It's because the market thinks:
Their chance of making mistakes is lower.
However, the most favored storyline in finals history is:
Making mathematical models doubt their own existence. #预测NBA总冠军赢20,000U