Analyst: I Just Changed My XLM Price Prediction

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Stellar (XLM) could have significantly more upside potential than most investors currently expect, according to crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto.

After reviewing XLM’s performance across previous market cycles, the analyst said he has revised his price target for the cryptocurrency and now believes the asset could reach levels far beyond its current trading range.

In a recent tweet, Steph announced that he had adjusted his XLM price prediction and shared a detailed breakdown of the technical and market-cap metrics that support his outlook.

The analyst’s assessment combines historical price behavior with market dominance data, leading him to outline both conservative and optimistic scenarios for XLM’s potential performance during the current cycle.

Historical Resistance Remains a Key Level

In the video, Steph examined XLM’s weekly chart dating back to 2014 and highlighted a price zone that has repeatedly acted as major resistance. He noted that XLM faced rejection in the range between approximately $0.65 and $0.90 during previous market cycles.

According to the analyst, the same resistance zone played a role in the market tops of 2018 and 2021 and once again limited upside momentum during 2024. He emphasized that this area has remained significant for nearly a decade, making it one of the most important levels for traders to monitor.

Steph pointed out that XLM recently surged from roughly $0.15 to around $0.30 before pulling back to approximately $0.25. Based on the strength of the current trend, he suggested that a return to the $0.65-$0.90 range could occur if bullish momentum continues in the coming weeks.

While he described that target as a realistic near-term objective, he stressed that it was not his final price prediction for the current cycle.

Market Dominance Forms the Basis of His Forecast

The analyst then shifted attention from technical analysis to market dominance. He explained that XLM currently represents about 0.34% of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, which he said stands at approximately $2.46 trillion.

Using historical data, Steph noted that XLM previously achieved a market dominance level of 2.73% during the 2018 cycle. He argued that if XLM were to regain that share of the crypto market while total market capitalization remained unchanged at $2.46 trillion, the asset’s market value would rise to roughly $67 billion.

Under that scenario, he estimated that XLM would reach approximately $2 per coin, representing a gain of about 7.8 times from current levels.

XRP Optimistic Scenario Targets $3.41

Steph also presented a more bullish outlook based on the broader cryptocurrency market returning to its previous peak valuation of $4.2 trillion. If that market size is restored and XLM once again captures 2.73% dominance, he calculated that Stellar’s market capitalization would climb to approximately $114 billion.

Based on those assumptions, the analyst projected an XLM price of $3.41, representing a 13.3-fold increase from its current value.

He concluded by arguing that a decisive breakout above the long-standing resistance zone could open the door to substantially higher prices. While acknowledging the recent strong rally, Steph maintained that XLM remains relatively small compared to several leading cryptocurrencies and still has considerable room for growth. This is due to its market position, partnerships, and overall fundamentals.

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