#预测NBA总冠军赢20,000U

In Game 1 of the NBA Finals, the Knicks defeated the Spurs on the road, shocking many experts and fans, but I was happily counting my money in secret. Not just Game 1, I’ve bet on the Knicks to win the championship for the entire series! The reasons are as follows:

1. Jalen Brunson’s super star takeover ability: Spurs’ unsolvable problem

Brunson, the new king of Madison Square Garden, was an unstoppable point for the Spurs throughout Game 1. Neither rookie Harper nor Vassell and Kessler are defensive specialists, and they couldn’t contain Brunson. What’s even more unstoppable is Brunson’s pick-and-roll tactics. Against Wembanyama’s pick-and-roll defense retreat strategy, Brunson used Robinson’s screens to shoot mid-range shots with a 62.3% success rate (regular season only 51.1%), forcing the Spurs to switch defenders, creating Hart mismatches to attack Vassell (net efficiency +12.4). Don’t just see Brunson scored 30 points in Game 1; in critical playoff moments (last 5 minutes with a 5-point or less difference), he averaged 6.1 points, with a 58.7% shooting percentage, and a true plus-minus (RPM) of +9.8, crushing any defender the Spurs put on him. He scored 17 points in the final quarter alone, directly breaking through Wembanyama’s rim-protecting system (3-for-3 in the final quarter against him + 2 assists).

2. Tactical restraint

‌Space containment‌: Karl-Anthony Towns has a 48.9% shooting percentage beyond the three-point line, forcing Wembanyama to defend away from the basket. Once Wembanyama extends out, the Knicks’ forwards (Brunson, Hart) cut straight to the basket. In Game 1, the Knicks scored 58 points in the paint, far surpassing the Spurs’ 42 points.

‌Physical exhaustion‌: OG Anunoby, Mikal Bridges, and other forwards took turns in close guarding, using high-intensity physical contact to limit Wembanyama’s catch-and-shoot rhythm, resulting in him shooting only 6-for-21 for a field goal percentage of just 29.4%.

‌Mismatched punishment‌: Brunson continuously attacked Wembanyama’s lateral movement weakness after screens. In the final quarter, he scored 13 points, including 7 points from mid-range jump shots, completely ignoring the Spurs’ help defense system.

3. The mysticism of betting markets

Currently, platforms like Polymarket and ESPN still maintain the Spurs’ championship probability at 63.6%–66% (just joking about betting against the odds and winning the prize). I decided to go against the majority and bet on the Knicks to win the championship. If the Spurs win Game 2, I will add more!