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#DailyPolymarketHotspot
🔮 SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic, Discord — Polymarket Is Pricing the IPO Race of the Decade Right Now
This Polymarket question is one of the most interesting prediction markets running right now and I want to break down where the smart money is actually sitting before sharing my own take.
The data is fascinating. Polymarket has SpaceX at 85% to be the largest IPO by market cap in 2026 — and a separate timing contract has 92% probability it happens in June specifically. That's about as close to consensus as prediction markets ever get. The SpaceX S-1 is filed, the $1.75 trillion target valuation is public, Goldman Sachs is leading underwriting. This one feels genuinely close.
Anthropic just quietly filed a confidential S-1 with the SEC on June 1 — three days ago. At a private valuation approaching $965 billion with roughly $44 billion annualized revenue run-rate and its first operating profit expected in Q2, the Anthropic IPO story is moving faster than most people realize. Polymarket has Anthropic at 59% odds to close above a $1.8 trillion market cap at IPO. That would make it one of the largest public listings in history.
OpenAI's CFO has signaled a 2027 window with late-2026 preparations beginning. Discord remains the wildcard — strong revenue, massive user base, no clear timeline.
Here's my personal prediction breakdown. SpaceX IPOs before year-end 2026 — I'd take that bet at 85% all day, the infrastructure and regulatory groundwork is done. Anthropic follows in Q4 2026 or early Q1 2027 — the confidential filing timing suggests a fall window is very deliberately in play. OpenAI stays private through 2026 — their governance restructuring is still settling and a 2027 listing feels more realistic. Discord? I think they wait for a cleaner macro environment.
With BTC down hard today and crypto in extreme fear the irony of the biggest market opportunities right now sitting in traditional IPO prediction markets is not lost on me.
Which of these companies do you predict goes public first — SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI or Discord — and what's your reasoning? Drop your prediction below.
#Polymarket每日热点 #DailyPolymarketHotspot #GateSquare