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Gold Strengthens, Market Watches Middle East Ceasefire and US NFP Data

Gold Focus:

Optimism Over Middle East Conflict De-escalation
Expectations for Fed Policy and US Employment Data
Thursday, June 4, 2026 – Gold prices opened higher at $4,431 per troy ounce amid growing market optimism about the potential easing of Middle East tensions. Positive sentiment emerged after the United States announced the achievement of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon, raising hopes that diplomatic efforts could also extend to conflicts involving Iran. At the same time, the weakening of the US dollar index provided limited support for gold.

However, gold movements remain cautious due to concerns over inflation prospects and US monetary policy. Tensions in the Gulf region continue after reports of Iran attacking several facilities in Kuwait and US military operations around the Strait of Hormuz, increasing the risk of global energy supply disruptions. Oil prices remaining high could sustain inflationary pressures, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates high for longer.

On the economic side, market participants are now awaiting a series of US employment data as indicators for future monetary policy direction. After the ADP Employment Change report showed stronger-than-expected private sector job growth, investor focus shifts to the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and US unemployment rate data to be released later this week. Additionally, statements from several Fed officials, including John Williams and Beth Hammack, who maintain hawkish tones, further strengthen market expectations that the chance of interest rate cuts in the near future remains limited.

Technically, the nearest support level for gold prices is around $4,408 to $4,382, while the nearest resistance is at $4,478 to $4,522. If selling pressure increases, deeper support is seen at $4,312, while medium-term resistance is in the $4,592 area.
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