Ki Young Ju said that this structural change is essentially a generational upgrade of the market consensus layer. The increase from 15% two years ago to 53% today is not a numbers game; it is a collective migration of the mental accounts of coin holders. When short-term holders are converted in bulk into long-term holders, volatility will be locked in, but this also means that the actual release points for selling pressure will become harder to predict—whether the 68% bottom signal will fail is the biggest suspense of this cycle.

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CryptoQuant Founder Ki Young Ju stated that the current price of Bitcoin is similar to two years ago, but the on-chain structure has changed significantly. The group of buyers holding coins for 6 months to 2 years in this cycle now accounts for 53% of BTC's realized market value, up from 15% two years ago. He believes that in the previous cycle, Bitcoin bottomed out when this ratio rose to 68%. This indicates that short-term holders are gradually converting into long-term holders, and the market's chip distribution is undergoing a change.
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