According to Kalshi, this prediction market platform states that as of June 4th, traders see an 80% probability that Bitcoin will fall below $60,000 in 2026. If this prediction comes true, it will set a new low for the year and break the February low. Kalshi data also shows that the probability of Bitcoin dropping below $50,000 is 52%, which would be the first time since August 2024 that the price has been in the four-figure range. Meanwhile, traders' confidence in Bitcoin returning to $100,000 in the next few months has significantly decreased, with the current probability at only 27%, down sharply from nearly 50% in early May.