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#分享美股交易赢英伟达股票
Last night's U.S. stock market analysis—short covering does not change the long-term bull market characteristics; a pullback may be a buying opportunity
Perhaps influenced by the crypto circle, U.S. stocks opened lower and declined throughout the day yesterday, with the Dow closing down over 1%, and the Nasdaq also falling in tandem. Many new investors who just entered the market are panicking. The little money god believes that this decline is just a normal correction caused by geopolitical tensions combined with inflation expectations and short covering. The foundation of this bull market has not been shaken. If U.S. stocks continue to decline, it might be an opportunity for us to enter.
First, let's look at the reasons for last night's decline, mainly caused by the following three major factors:
1. Middle East geopolitical conflict pushes up oil prices, reigniting inflation concerns
The US-Iran situation flared up again during negotiations, with increased military friction, significantly raising geopolitical uncertainty: both sides blame each other for attacks, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted, directly driving international oil prices higher, with WTI crude oil back above $95.5 per barrel, and Brent crude rebounding to $97.8 per barrel. Market expectations suggest oil prices may break through $100 per barrel this week.
The surge in oil prices further intensifies market concerns about persistent U.S. inflation. Previously, energy costs had already pushed up overall U.S. inflation, and a new round of price hikes has shattered expectations of inflation easing, putting pressure on stock market valuations.
2. Labor market remains strong, reinforcing Fed rate hike expectations
U.S. May ADP employment data exceeded expectations, showing the labor market remains robust. Coupled with rising oil prices and inflationary pressure, Dallas Fed President Logan publicly stated that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates further this year to combat inflation.
Rising rate hike expectations have driven U.S. Treasury yields higher, increasing the opportunity cost of stocks, especially impacting valuations of growth stocks, particularly tech stocks. This decline is also a reflection of tech sector leading the downturn.
3. Technical profit-taking demand
U.S. stocks had already experienced nine consecutive days of gains, with the S&P 500 reaching a record high, accumulating significant profit-taking; multiple short-term technical indicators issued overbought and bearish signals, triggering some investors to take profits, amplifying the decline.
On the technical side, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) of the S&P 500 fell from overbought territory (above 70) to around 62, indicating the market is transitioning from overheating to a technical correction phase. The MACD histogram shifted from positive to negative, with the fast line (DIF) crossing below the slow line (DEA), forming a death cross signal, confirming short-term momentum turning from bullish to bearish. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing continuously, reaching the lowest range in nearly three months, indicating the market is on the verge of a breakout after a “quiet period.” Prices are trading below the middle band (7,580 points) and have not effectively broken above the upper band (7,620 points), showing a “converging—breakdown” typical pattern. RSI has not entered the oversold zone (<30), suggesting selling pressure has not yet dried up, and there is still downward inertia in the short term.
Next, pay attention to the following support and resistance levels:
S&P 500 Index
Key support: 7,500 points (convergence of previous lows + 200-day moving average)
Short-term resistance: 7,620 points (June 3rd historical high)
Medium-term resistance: 7,700 points (peak of the May 2026 plateau)
Nasdaq 100 Index
Key support: 26,500 points (low on May 20, 2026 + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement)
Short-term resistance: 27,200 points (previous high resistance + 50-day moving average)
If it falls below 26,500, the next support is the psychological level of 26,000 points
My future market operation plan:
Given the sharp decline and the lack of significant volume increase, there may still be inertia-driven drops. I plan to wait one or two trading days. If the Dow drops near 50,000 points later, I will consider re-entering with heavy positions. The target for bottom-fishing remains leading tech stocks like Nvidia, Micron, and Microsoft. The specific bottom-fishing plan is as follows:
Nvidia
Bottom-fishing price: around 210
Position: 30%
Take-profit target: medium to long-term hold
Stop-loss: $205
Micron
Buy-in price: around 1015
Position: 10%
Take-profit target: $1200
Stop-loss: below $1000
Microsoft
Bottom-fishing price: around 420
Position: 30%
Take-profit target: medium to long-term hold
Stop-loss: below $400
The above is just my personal plan and does not constitute investment advice. If you’re unsure about the entry points, you can also invest in Nasdaq ETFs, avoiding individual stock research, and just relax and make money! Finally, I wish everyone daily prosperity!