FET Full Cycle Trend Review + Precise Market Forecast (Current Price 0.244)

1. Market Situation Review

1H Level

Current price 0.244 is near the 1H Bollinger lower band at 0.2466, with a slight break below the lower band followed by a small stabilization, MACD bearish crossover, DIF crossing below DEA, indicating short-term oversold conditions with technical rebound needs; the intraday low of 0.2321 is the first strong support, and the middle Bollinger band at 0.2606 is the first resistance for a short-term rebound.

4H Level

4H Bollinger middle band at 0.2644, current price falling below the middle band indicating short-term weakness, with 0.2735 as the high point resistance of this rebound cycle, and 0.232~0.24 as the short-term concentrated support zone; 4H red bars narrowing, indicating a phase of correction for the bulls, a pullback after a rally.

Daily Chart Level

Daily Bollinger middle band at 0.2266, current price steadily above the middle band, the upward structure on the daily chart remains intact, the current rising trend starting from 0.1398 has not broken, and the pullback is only a continuation correction; the upper Bollinger band at 0.2862 is the ultimate resistance for this wave (previous high 0.2889).

Weekly Level

Weekly chart relies on the Bollinger middle band at 0.2032 for steady upward movement, with 0.1130 as the major bottom of this large cycle, the fundamental aspects of the AI Agent track continue to land, the weekly bullish pattern remains unchanged, and the large decline space is essentially locked by fundamentals.

2. Sub-cycle Trend Scenarios & Key Levels

Short-term (1–3 trading days, 1H/4H)

Support: 0.232→0.227 (daily middle band as major bottom); Resistance: 0.260→0.2735→0.289

1. Standard Scenario (70% probability): Relying on 0.232 support to stabilize and recover, initial rebound hitting the 0.26 middle band resistance, after pressure, small oscillation, preparing to test the previous high of 0.289;
2. Slightly Weak Scenario (25% probability): Slight break below 0.232, retest 0.227 daily critical support, which is the main force’s golden pit for shakeout, stabilize and then resume upward;
3. Extreme Breakdown (5% probability): Effectively breaking below 0.227 with daily close below, short-term enters a 0.20~0.23 range-bound oscillation.

Medium-term (2–4 weeks, daily chart)

As long as the daily chart does not effectively break below 0.226 middle band, the current upward trend remains intact.

First target: 0.288~0.29 previous high resistance, breaking through opens upward space;

Second target: 0.33~0.35 (valuation premium brought by AI sector rotation + project ecosystem landing).

Logic: FET is a leading AI Agent landing project with its own AI computing power and continuous application iteration. Under the environment of a sharp decline in BTC, its anti-drop attribute is maximized, making it a low-positioned AI asset favored for risk aversion and capital consolidation.

Long-term (1–3 months, weekly chart)

The weekly bottom at 0.113 is a historic low, as long as it does not break the 0.20 major center, the long-term oscillation upward remains unchanged. With the continuous explosion of the AI Agent industry, the long-term valuation can recover to 0.4+.

3. Market Correlation Logic

BTC’s deep correction this cycle has dragged down the overall market sentiment, but FET, supported by its AI landing fundamentals, has shown resilience. The correction is a window for phased accumulation at low levels; as it belongs to the main track along with ONDO, WLD, NEAR, the market will prioritize rebound after stabilization.

4. Positioning and Trading Guidance

1. Holders: Use 0.227 as a stop-loss line; do not break it, and take profits by gradually reducing positions at 0.27~0.29 during rebounds;
2. Non-holders: Two-tiered accumulation: first at 0.233~0.238 for short-term testing, second with heavy positions near 0.227 for strategic deployment.

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Just like medical practice distinguishes between acute and stable phases, the market situation is similar. Short-term pullbacks are like “inflammation,” as long as the daily support trend remains healthy, there’s no need to panic sell or chase highs; layered deployment is the $FET prudent approach.