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There is a very interesting phenomenon in the crypto world: daytime and nighttime feel like two different markets.
Here are some practical observations, not necessarily correct, but worth pondering:
1. About timing: If the market keeps falling during the day domestically, it’s often an opportunity; after 9:30 PM when external markets move, it’s easy to see a rebound. Conversely, if prices rise sharply during the day, don’t chase high; at night, a pullback is highly likely.
2. About signals: Pinning is the most honest language. The deeper the pin, the stronger the reverse signal.
3. About news: Major meetings or positive developments usually have already been priced in before they land; once the news is out, it’s basically the time to cash out.
4. About communities: The more lively the discussion about a coin in the group, the more excited you get, the more you need to stay calm. For assets with excessive hype, counter-trend actions are often correct. Conversely, if everyone is not optimistic, you can try holding a small amount.
5. About positions: When you hold a heavy position, you always feel like the market whales are watching your cost line. Just a little more to break even, and the rebound suddenly stops; just after you cut losses, it takes off. This is the cruel reality of the market—most people’s stop-loss points are often the turning points of the trend.
6. About emotions: When you’re so excited that you can’t help sharing your gains, a crash might be just around the corner. When you’re desperate and exit at a loss, the market often just begins.
In short, this market does have some level of manipulation. All we can do is control our positions, stay patient, and wait for others to move first.
Don’t always think about beating the market; first, beat your own emotions. Let’s encourage each other.