The biggest takeaway from watching the market over the past two weeks isn’t whether it’s going up or down—it’s that interest-rate line, which has been yanking risk appetite along the whole time. Put simply, when money gets more expensive, everyone becomes less willing to ride out volatility; leverage gets drained first, and altcoins end up gasping for air too. On the other hand, once the market starts to feel “less tight,” people only then dare to add positions back gradually. I’m reminding myself for the third time now: break down the points that could blow up first, then talk about opportunities. I’d rather make a little less than get punctured clean through by a single needle.

Also, it’s honestly kind of surreal that hardware wallets are all sold out… but phishing links have been popping up a lot lately too. The more volatile the market is and the more you’re emotionally swept up, the easier it is to click the wrong thing. In any case, I’m doing small trial transfers to any new address only, watching the signature pop-ups carefully—if it takes longer, then it takes longer. Living is what matters most.