Federal Reserve's Williams voices support for keeping interest rates unchanged, with expectations of rate hikes continuing to rise this year

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Mars Finance News, June 3rd, Federal Reserve Chairman Williams expressed support for keeping interest rates unchanged: monetary policy is "just right" at the appropriate level, with no need to raise or cut rates. We will watch closely for updates on the latest tariff measures, as upside risks to inflation have increased. There is no clear direction for future interest rates, and the Federal Reserve's forward guidance is not considered particularly helpful. According to CME FedWatch data, expectations for rate cuts this year have essentially been eliminated, while expectations for rate hikes have increased, even suggesting a possibility of a 75 basis point hike. Currently, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged for the rest of 2026 is 40.9%, the probability of a total cut of 25 basis points for the year is only 0.7%, the probability of a total hike of 25 basis points is 41.6%, the probability of a total hike of 50 basis points is 14.6%, and the probability of a total hike of 75 basis points is 0.1%. Additionally, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the next (June) Federal Reserve meeting is 1.7%.
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