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Tonight at 8:15 PM, the US May ADP employment figures will be announced, with a previous value of 109k and an expectation of 117k. Currently, Bitcoin has fallen below $70k, and market confidence is fragile.
Impact logic (the macro background in 2026 has reversed: the market has shifted from "when to cut rates" to "whether to raise rates," and the Federal Reserve may restart tightening):
Above 117k → Strengthen expectations of rate hikes → Bearish for Bitcoin
Below 109k → Decreased urgency for rate hikes → Short-term bullish, potential rebound
In line with expectations → Neutral, but volatility remains
Note: ADP historical performance is unstable (it has failed due to geopolitical factors before), and the real "big test" is the non-farm payroll data on Friday (June 5). It requires a comprehensive judgment based on subsequent official statements. #分享美股交易赢英伟达股票