QCP analysis indicates that BTC has fallen approximately 11.6% this week, failing to recover the key momentum level. Strategy sold 32 BTC in late May to pay preferred stock dividends, and although the scale was small, it weakened market sentiment. QCP states that the Middle East situation, stalled US-Iran negotiations, rising oil prices, and stronger-than-expected US job vacancy data are putting simultaneous pressure on BTC from crypto de-leverage and macro factors. The options market shows defensive demand remains, with the 30-day at-the-money implied volatility rising to about 41.4. QCP believes that unless BTC recovers and holds the $67,000 to $68,000 range, the rebound may still face pressure.

BTC-1.82%
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Xiamu
· 3h ago
Seeing 60,000, it can still fall further, money has all flowed into U.S. stocks 😀😀😀😀😀😀😀
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Miner'sOldKeyboard
· 3h ago
30-day IV skyrocketed to 41, panic sentiment is still there, but it also means volatility opportunities
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GateUser-8e84d799
· 4h ago
67k-68k has become the life-and-death line; if you can't reach it, keep grinding.
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GateUser-a65ee044
· 4h ago
Option volatility is 41.4, the market is buying protection, indicating that everyone is also uncertain.
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ReflectionsOnTheStreetAfterThe
· 4h ago
QCP’s analysis is pretty solid. Whether the rebound holds depends on whether it can defend the key levels—don’t just talk big.
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SushiStopLoss
· 4h ago
The strategy of selling coins to pay dividends does indeed hurt morale a bit, even though it's just 32 coins, the signal isn't good.
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GateUser-170ee8b1
· 4h ago
Middle East + US-Iran + oil prices + employment data—fourfold debuffs stacking up. If BTC can hold without collapsing, that’s already considered tough.
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