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Recently, looking at macroeconomics influences me more than reading candlestick charts.
When interest rates rise, money suddenly becomes "costly," and everyone's risk appetite naturally shrinks; on-chain liquidity gaps become more obvious:
The pool on the other side of the bridge is thinner, slippage/delays stack up, and people are more likely to get stuck halfway, causing their mentality to collapse directly.
Conversely, once expectations of interest rate cuts emerge, you'll see funds gradually dare to move out, but not all at once.
Recently, there have been messages about "tax hikes and tighter compliance in certain regions," and the first thing that changes is actually the psychological expectation of deposits and withdrawals; many people start self-risk management before policies are even implemented.
I’ve also kept my positions smaller for now, preferring to go slow; if I need to switch chains, I try to do it in batches to avoid pitfalls at the last minute.