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I found another weather bot on Polymarket, and this guy is simply a top predator.
Made over fifty thousand dollars in six months, with no red months, all green. Just betting on the temperatures in Seoul and New York.
Winning rate is about 33%, with a total of 2,453 trades, consistently profitable for six months.
Its gameplay is very interesting—large numbers of small long-term bets, occasionally placing a heavy bet.
Most bets are between 3 to 8 cents, betting "yes" on a specific temperature, with very small amounts, most expire to zero, but as long as one hits, the return is 10 to 20 times.
Here are some of the most impressive bets:
· Bet over four thousand, received over eleven thousand, betting on Seoul March 9th at 7°C, entry price 32 cents each;
· Bet over two hundred, received over four thousand four hundred, betting on Seoul May 31st at 27°C, entry at 4.3 cents;
· Bet less than two hundred, received over two thousand eight hundred, betting on New York April 14th, entry at 6.3 cents.
This bot’s homepage:
Its trading hours are concentrated from 4 a.m. to 12 p.m. UTC, which translates to afternoon to evening in Seoul.
This time period is exactly when the highest temperature of the day is mostly confirmed, and market prices are being re-priced.
This is no longer an occasional malfunction.
The weather markets on Polymarket are essentially assets with structural pricing biases, and this bot is quietly harvesting profits.
What would happen if the other side suddenly reacts one day?
If you want to follow trades on Polymarket, I recommend using Kreo:
#Polymarket