SOL 2026.06.03 Daily + 4H Intraday Technical Analysis

Current price 76.3 USDT, 24H decline of 7.1%, linked to BTC depth retracement, sector synchronized deleveraging

I. Cycle Indicator Interpretation

Daily Level

1. Price breaks below MA20/50/100 moving averages across the board, moving from support to resistance, with 20EMA87 and 50EMA97 forming a dense resistance zone above; Bollinger Band lower band opening downward, confirming a bearish trend.

2. Daily RSI≈32, entering oversold territory, MACD green bars expanding, DIF crossing below DEA, downward momentum still present, only technical oversold rebound possible, unlikely to reverse the daily bearish structure.

3. Weekly faces resistance at 0.236 Fibonacci level 111, indicating a weak medium to long-term structure.

4-hour Short-term (Operational Core)

4H RSI≈23.8, extreme oversold, candlesticks continuously running along the lower Bollinger Band, short-term rebound pressure building; 24H SOL long contracts heavily liquidated, passive selling pressure slightly weakening, but buying support remains weak, rebound viewed as a correction to the trend.

II. Key Price Levels

Resistance (nearest to farthest)

1. Short-term first resistance: 79.5-81 (20-day moving average + intraday trapped zone, primary rebound hurdle)

2. Medium-term heavy resistance: 86.5-88 (MA50 + dense chip zone, only stabilizing above this zone can alleviate the downtrend)

3. Strong resistance: 96-98, must recover to shift from bearish to sideways

Support (nearest to farthest)

1. Short-term support: 75-75.8 (intraday low), breaking below directly tests 72

2. Key medium-term support: 67-68 (Fibonacci 0 baseline, historical dense buy zone), the bottom line for bulls during this decline

3. Extreme support at the 60 level

III. Intraday Trading Ideas

Follow the trend with a bearish bias (main line)

1. Short on rebounds at 79.5~81 with resistance, stop-loss at 82.3, target 76→72, if broken look for 68

2. Effectively break below 75 to pursue short positions, stop-loss at 76.8, target 72-69

Light short-term long positions (only betting on oversold rebounds, quick entries and exits)

Rebound to 75-75.8 for light long attempt with stop-loss at 74.2, take profit at 79-80.5, exit at resistance, avoid holding long-term longs.

IV. Trend Summary

Major cycle remains bearish, short-term oversold conditions trigger slight corrective rebounds, but these do not alter the overall downward structure; only if daily closes above 88 can the short-term decline end and enter consolidation, otherwise the #分享美股交易赢英伟达股票 downtrend continues.