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Emotions and positions are at odds, $BTC has already fallen to around $66,592, but the bullish ratio is still at 69%.
$66,592 indicates that the $70k level has shifted from support to resistance.
A 69% bullish ratio suggests the market hasn't fully given up, and is instead more susceptible to being shaken out by volatility.
This round of correction has wiped out approximately $176 billion in market value.
$176 billion is not a small pullback, indicating both spot and leveraged funds are reducing risk simultaneously.
Open interest in BTC contracts is still at $7.23 billion.
$7.23 billion shows that leverage in the market remains high, and if prices continue to sweep, volatility will be amplified.
The macro environment is also not clean.
The U.S. Treasury Department sanctions include Iranian crypto exchanges like Nobitex, which will reintroduce geopolitical and compliance risks into the crypto market.
The SEC has listed digital assets as a strategic focus through 2030, but U.S. lawmakers oppose including crypto in 401(k)s, indicating that regulation is not purely favorable but involves both “recognition of importance” and “restriction of capital inflow” simultaneously.
Fear and Greed Index is only at 11.
11 indicates market sentiment is close to extreme fear, but a buy/sell ratio of 1.02 only shows that buying pressure slightly outweighs selling, not a strong recovery.
Key observation list: Can the $70k level be reclaimed, whether open interest of $7.23 billion continues to decline, and whether the 69% bullish ratio is squeezed out.
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This content was generated with the assistance of Claude Opus 4.8, for informational purposes only. Please verify independently.