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Polymarket “Anthropic will go public by September 30” probability drops to 30%, down 37% in 24 hours

MarsBitNews
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Mars Finance News: On Polymarket, the probability of “Anthropic will go public by September 30” has fallen to 30%, down 37% over 24 hours. In addition, the probability of “Anthropic will go public by December 31” is currently at 89%. Anthropic has announced that it has privately filed for a U.S. IPO, moving ahead of competitor OpenAI to enter the listing process. In a statement, Anthropic said that submitting the prospectus “gives us the right to choose to go public after the SEC completes its review,” and emphasized that “the proposed initial public offering will depend on market conditions and other factors.” According to market sources, Anthropic’s earliest possible listing date is this autumn, but it has not disclosed the offering size and terms.
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MirrorBallReflection
· 1h ago
Secretly submitting and then announcing yourself—does that call it a secret? No, that's called a warm-up.
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CandlewickKid
· 9h ago
A jump from 30% to 89% implies a three-month buffer period, got it.
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AirdropCheck-InOfficer
· 9h ago
December probability 89% vs 9/30—this time difference is played smoothly; the SEC’s delaying tactics are fully confirmed
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Cross-SectionOfSucculent
· 9h ago
They don't disclose the issuance scale, so institutions are probably already manipulating the price in the dark pool.
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ColdBrewYield
· 9h ago
89% end-of-year probability indicates everyone believes the project will go public eventually, just not in September.
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RouterRunner
· 9h ago
The earliest in autumn, but no mention of which year's autumn (manual dog head)
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NightFlightPaperCrane
· 9h ago
SEC review + market conditions, both variables are all about luck; it's hard for gamblers to succeed.
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PixelMetaverseRaccoon
· 9h ago
OpenAI is still dragging its feet, is Anthropic trying to jump the gun? What a spectacle.
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AprDaydream
· 9h ago
Polymarket's volatility is even more exciting than cryptocurrencies, with a 37% drop seen in a day.
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LeverageLatte
· 9h ago
Secretly submitting an IPO application, this move is very Silicon Valley—first low-key, then make a big splash.
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