Goldman Sachs believes that the U.S. diesel supply shortage in August is at its most severe level since 2003.

Gold Financial reports, June 2nd, according to Darin Struven, co-head of the global commodities research department at Goldman Sachs Group, if the nearly complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz continues and commercial crude oil inventories keep declining at recent rates, by August, U.S. diesel inventories could fall to a critical level that can only sustain 20 days of supply. "Over the past eight weeks, U.S. oil inventories have experienced the largest decline in history. U.S. diesel inventories have fallen to the lowest level since 2003." The Iran war has completely changed the global oil market landscape, with Persian Gulf oil-producing countries significantly reducing oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, almost to zero, forcing millions of barrels of oil production to halt. Although U.S. refineries can compensate for this gap by drawing on inventories, if this route remains blocked, the potential turning point will become increasingly severe. Struven stated, "This tension will also be clearly reflected in the United States." According to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, as of the week ending May 22, U.S. diesel supplies were about 28 days' worth of stock, compared to approximately 36 days at the end of January.
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