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When funding rates go to the extreme, my first reaction isn’t, “An opportunity has arrived.” Instead, I ask myself this: am I really betting against emotions this time, or am I trying to make friends with time? Taking the other side of the trade is of course tempting. Standing on the opposite side of the crowded side sounds smart—but the truth is, when things get extreme, they can get even more extreme. And especially once the narrative heats up, people start treating rationality like a burden. More often than not, I choose to dodge the volatility—shrink my position a bit, keep some firepower, and don’t let myself get dragged along by the market.
Haven’t people been arguing lately about delays in on-chain data tools and tagging systems? Sometimes, when you see the “smart money” label, it’s just a story someone wants you to believe. I’m currently a bit less interested in chasing explanations. If it’s random, then it’s random. All I can do is put myself in a place that’s not easy to get popped by a single needle… for now. That’s it.