"Great Demon Coin LAB is just the next RAVE coin, can the whales unload? At what price will it top out?"

1. Can the whales unload? The answer is: not yet, but they are positioning
(1) Most of the chips are still locked
Tokenomist data shows that LAB has a total supply of 1 billion tokens, with about 76.54 million unlocked and in circulation (7.65% of total supply). The remaining 92.35% of tokens are still being released gradually according to a linear unlocking schedule, with full unlocking extended to 2027. Market rumors suggest the next unlocking window is in July or August.
(2) Locked holders can only be "wealthy on paper"
Public sale participants, team members, and early investors cannot transfer their holdings during the lock-up period. The current price has risen to $18.80, with huge unrealized gains, but they cannot cash out. Market rumors say the foundation has unilaterally changed the vesting schedule to extend the rally, with the next unlock reportedly pushed to August.
(3) Some early investors are already unloading OTC at a discount
Some early investors are attempting to transfer their quotas at nearly 90% discount, with additional short-term lock-up conditions. This pattern is highly similar to past internal OTC activities before low-liquidity token crashes. Traders describe that holders are trying to hedge their locked positions but are still being liquidated.
(4) Preconditions for whales to unload
Whales need at least two conditions to complete distribution: first, the tokens must be unlocked (July-August is a key window), and second, they must maintain sufficiently high prices and liquidity before unlocking. The current pump is creating conditions for unloading.
Conclusion: It’s not “already unloaded,” but “preparing for unloading with a final pump.” The July-August unlocking window is the first real test.
2. What price range might top out? Analysis from three dimensions
(1) Based on circulating market cap estimates
Currently, the circulating market cap is about $4.66 billion (at a price of $16.24), with a fully diluted valuation (FDV) of about $14.9 billion. If the price rises to $20-25, the circulating market cap will reach $6.2-7.8 billion, and FDV will approach $20-25 billion. In the current market environment, an FDV of over $20 billion for a single AI project is an extreme bubble zone. Referencing RAVE’s top at an FDV of about $6-8 billion before crashing, LAB’s FDV has already far exceeded that level.
(2) Based on unlocking window timing
Market news points to July-August as the next unlocking window. If the unlocked tokens flood into the market, it could form a “sell wall.” Historically, whales tend to pump prices before unlocking to unload, with tops often around the actual unlocking. Based on this, the top might occur from late June to early July.
(3) Based on ZachXBT’s warning and market sentiment
ZachXBT explicitly states: “Yes, it seems like last scam pump for LAB from MM before all of the hidden supply unlocks from OTC / private sale.” Another research platform describes LAB’s new high as a “chicken game with insiders,” and reiterates that unlocking usually causes value dilution. After short sellers get liquidated, bullish sentiment is extremely euphoric.
(4) Potential top zone estimate
Combining the circulating market cap bubble (current FDV of $14.9 billion far exceeds RAVE’s $6-8 billion at crash), the unlocking time window (July-August), and ZachXBT’s warning, the potential top could be in the $20-30 range.
If whales forcibly push FDV above $25 billion (corresponding to about $25 per token), the bubble will be extremely extreme. Once the July-August unlocking window opens, a crash could happen at any time.
3. Why hasn’t it crashed yet? Because whales are playing a big game
(1) Extremely low circulating supply allows whales to control the market
Only 7.65% of actual circulating supply means whales can pump with very little capital. Retail investors see a “strong breakout,” while whales see “opponents stacking up for shorting.”
(2) Negative funding rates are continuously harvesting shorts
With high negative funding rates, short sellers are being drained daily, and short liquidation fuels the price rise.
(3) The higher the pump, the larger the unloading space
Before a crash, the price must be driven high enough. When it hits $16, the market cap ranks 25th; at $20-25, FDV could reach $200-25B—then releasing just 5-10% of locked chips could cash out billions.
4. RAVE crash timeline comparison
RAVE crashed from $28.5 to $0.63, a 97.8% decline. LAB’s circulating rate is even lower (RAVE about 24%, LAB only 7.65%), so it will crash even faster.
(1) Peak: RAVE at $28.5, LAB currently at $18.8 (ongoing, potential $20-30);
(2) Crash trigger: RAVE was triggered by on-chain recharge + exchange investigation; LAB is expected to be triggered by the July-August unlock window;
(3) First crash: RAVE fell to $0.63 (-97.8%), LAB estimated to fall to $0.5-1.0.
5. Trading strategies
(1) Going long: not recommended to chase high, all risk signals have been triggered
(2) Shorting window not yet open: current negative funding rate + short squeeze + whales still pumping, wait for the squeeze to end
(3) Short signal: volume breakdown below $12-13 and funding rate turns positive, short on the right side, target first $5-8, during crash phase $0.5-1.0
(4) Core monitoring: unlock window dynamics in July-August, on-chain recharge (a “no-go” signal for crash), and whether funding rate turns positive
6. Core conclusions
(1) Whales are not yet unloading but are preparing for the final pump. The July-August unlock window is the first real test.
(2) The potential top is in the $20-30 range, corresponding to FDV of about $200-25B, an extreme bubble zone.
(3) Once the unlock chips start flowing into exchanges in July-August, it will replicate RAVE’s path: crashing from over $20 to below $1.
(4) If going long, it’s a game against insiders; if going short, waiting for whales to ❤ turn against. The safest strategy is to stay flat, watch the unlock, and short after the #LAB crash is confirmed.