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Gate Prediction Market Hot Events: Will the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by the end of June?
As of June 2, 2026, data from the Gate prediction market shows that the probability of the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal shipping before June 15 is 4%, before June 30 is 22%, before July 31 is 41%, and by December 31 the probability rises to 76%. This set of probability curves clearly reflects the market’s incremental expectations regarding the timeline for resolving the geopolitical conflict. In the short term, low probabilities coexist with high probabilities over the medium to long ter
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