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MechanicalHummingbirdGlass

2026-06-02 10:07:02

42.5%→19.5% takes only one day, and the market's voting with its feet is always faster than diplomatic negotiations

View Original

MeNews2026-06-02 09:52:03

Can the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement? The probability of "Yes" drops by 23.0 percentage points

ME News Report, April 19 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the market assessment regarding "Can the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 22, 2026?", the probability of the "Yes" option has decreased from 42.5% to 19.5%, a single-day drop of 23.0 percentage points.

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