Whenever a hot topic changes recently, I remind myself: attention is the most expensive gas. When discussions about rate cuts expectations, the US dollar index, and others heat up, the group immediately copies and pastes the same set of talking points, and emotions rise, making it easy to chase and buy. A few days later, the narrative shifts and takes a hit. Basically, it's being "harvested" by the hype back and forth.

My current rough method: first focus on on-chain data and incentive boundaries, understand what the project relies on for payments, and where the validation/staking rewards come from. Don’t get excited and treat "short-term consensus" as long-term value. If I really want to participate, I just throw in 20 USDT as a ticket, enough to calm myself for at least 15 minutes before deciding whether to add more. Anyway, what I fear more is the centralized control of the rhythm by a few people, leaving a mess after the hype dies down. That’s it for now.