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GlowingHotAirBalloon

2026-06-02 03:30:04

The probability of a peace agreement being cut in half in a day, geopolitical risks are once again stirring waves

View Original

MeNews2026-06-02 03:10:48

Can the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement? The probability of "Yes" drops by 23.0 percentage points

ME News message: On April 19 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the market assessment of whether the United States and Iran can reach a permanent peace agreement before April 22, 2026, the probability of the “Yes” option has fallen from 42.5% to 19.5%, a one-day drop of 23.0 percentage points.

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