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2026-06-02 01:35:03

Funds betting on geopolitical risks are being re-priced, but the collective wisdom of prediction markets often detects the signs of trouble earlier than experts.

View Original

MeNews2026-06-02 01:29:48

Can the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement? The probability of "Yes" drops sharply by 23.0 percentage points

ME News Report, April 19 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the market assessment regarding "Can the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 22, 2026?", the probability of the "Yes" option has decreased from 42.5% to 19.5%, a drop of 23.0 percentage points in one day.

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