According to The Block, Strategy's sale of 32 Bitcoin between May 26 and 31 sparked controversy over a $20 million+ prediction market on Polymarket, which was originally scheduled to settle whether it would sell its holdings before May 31. Strategy disclosed this sale in a filing to the SEC on June 2, but it was already past the market's closing deadline, leading to conflicting claims: one side argued the sale occurred before the deadline; the other claimed that undisclosed information at market close should trigger a "No" settlement. The market has now been ruled "No" twice, and has subsequently gone through an appeal, currently facing final review, which has sparked a core debate in prediction markets: should settlement be based on the timing of the event occurrence or on the timing of evidence disclosure.

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