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Should I sell my coins before May 31st? Polymarket is currently embroiled in an astonishing controversy, and the official statement is set to be released at 1:00 a.m.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket for “Will Strategy sell BTC before May 31?”, controversy has emerged. Earlier today, the market was set to settle as “No,” but after Strategy disclosed that it sold 32 BTC last week, the market rapidly reversed: the probability of “Yes” briefly rose to 85%, and has since fallen to 51%. Both sides stick to their positions, and trading volume for this sub-market has exceeded $20,000,000.
The rule for this market is: if Strategy sells any of its Bitcoins before the specified time, the market will judge the result as “Yes”; otherwise, the market will judge the result as “No.” The primary sources of information for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, while also referencing consensus views from trustworthy reports from all parties. The “Yes” side believes the outcome is self-evident, while the “No” side mostly argues that the sale announcement was published after May 31 and should not be considered.
Polymarket has now added additional clarification to this market: We have noticed the controversy in this market. If a clarification statement needs to be published, it will be published at 1:00 PM Eastern Time on June 1 (1:00 AM Beijing Time). If no statement is published at that time, it indicates that the Polymarket team will not make any clarification. The order book will be cleared at 1:00 PM Eastern Time, regardless of whether a clarification statement has been published.