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Is the most dangerous June for Bitcoin here? After exposure of historical data, the bulls suddenly fell silent
There is an old saying in the crypto world:
Bull markets fear corrections, bear markets fear rebounds.
And June is often one of the most confusing months for investors.
Data shows that Bitcoin's average return in June historically is around a negative value.
Seeing this, many people have already started to feel nervous.
Is history about to repeat itself?
In fact, historical data is the easiest to misunderstand.
Because the average does not represent the future.
If you only look at history, you may never catch the real big trend.
But the greatest value of history lies in reminding us of risks.
In the past few years, June has often been accompanied by macro policy changes, fund rebalancing, and shifts in market sentiment.
This leads many short-term traders to fall into frequent operations.
Buy on a small rise.
Sell on a small dip.
As a result, the market hasn't lost much, but transaction fees contribute quite a bit.
And this June is especially unusual.
Non-farm payroll data, unemployment rate, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and Middle East developments all appear simultaneously.
The market is like opening four blind boxes at once.
No one knows whether the next surprise will be joy or shock.
For long-term investors, instead of predicting daily rises and falls, it's better to focus on whether the trend has been broken.
For short-term traders, controlling position size and pace is even more important.
Because volatility itself is not scary; what’s scary is amplifying risks in the wrong position.
So, do you think this June will repeat history or break it? #Saylor暗示增持BTC