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Gold "Super Week" Approaches: After a Month of Fluctuation, the First Week of June Will Decide the Outcome!
Decisive June | This Week's Complete Gold Trading Strategy: From "Mini Non-Farm" to "Major Non-Farm" Survival Guide
The curtain rises on June, and the gold market stands at a critical crossroads.
After a prolonged month of consolidation, this week (the first week of June) is highly likely to become the "window for direction choice" that determines future trends. Four major reports will follow one after another, and bulls and bears will face off in a direct showdown.
I have summarized the full rhythm and key observation points for this week below; I recommend saving it for future reference.
Monday: Volatile Start, Awaiting Signals
Geopolitical news over the weekend fluctuated back and forth, with core disagreements yet to be resolved. This uncertainty will continue to provide a bottom-line support for gold prices, expected to mainly consolidate with volatility during the day, with market sentiment leaning towards caution.
Tuesday: Testing Support, Focus on "Zeus"
Pay close attention to the JOLTS job openings data. As a key indicator for the Federal Reserve to gauge labor market slack, if the data weakens, implying a cooling of employment, it will boost expectations for rate cuts; conversely, if the data remains strong, it will reinforce the narrative of "higher for longer."
Wednesday: "Mini Non-Farm" Test
ADP data, as a precursor to the major Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), is the first potential turning point this week. The market generally expects a slight decline in the data, so be alert to early capital betting.
Thursday: Laying the Groundwork, Economic Verification
Focus on initial jobless claims and services PMI. If initial claims rise and PMI weakens, it will confirm the economic slowdown logic, providing short-term support for gold.
Friday: Final Judgment, Setting June's Tone
The most important event is the Non-Farm Employment Report (NFP).
Monday through Thursday are preparatory stages; the real show is on Friday evening. This data not only determines the market trend for the day but may also directly set the volatility range for the entire June.
Trading Strategy:
Avoid blindly betting on the direction this week. Observe marginal changes in data over the first four days, and on Friday, act according to the Non-Farm results. $XAUUSD