CoinDesk news: Goldman Sachs Group believes that oil prices face bidirectional risks due to weak demand and supply losses caused by the Iran war in the Middle East. Analysts, including Daan Struyven, said in a report dated May 31 that April oil sales data from Western Europe indicates that the bank’s April demand forecast—which is “already very low”—has about a 2 million barrels per day downside risk. This adds roughly an additional $10 per barrel of downside risk to its Q4 Brent crude oil price forecast of $90 per barrel. Goldman Sachs analysts said: “We believe that Middle Eastern supply losses could persist for a longer period of time, posing a significant upside price risk, but weak demand also brings a significant downside price risk. Actual end-market oil demand may decline more than expected due to price increases.”

BZ2.2%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 8
  • 2
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
LimitOrderMonk
· 8h ago
Western Europe's April sales data has already collapsed. Can the busy summer season still save it?
View OriginalReply0
BlackVelvetKeychain
· 18h ago
Terminal demand is price-sensitive, isn't that just demand elasticity after all?
View OriginalReply0
LeverageWithdrawalInProgress
· 19h ago
Iran war premium and demand collapse hedging, classic tug-of-war between bulls and bears
View OriginalReply0
LittleSunOfStainedGlass
· 20h ago
The daily downside risk of 2 million barrels is scary enough—Q4 is where you’ll see 85.
View OriginalReply0
AutumnTranquility
· 20h ago
Daan Struyven's name sounds Dutch; the analysis is quite conservative.
View OriginalReply0
FiveMinutesBeforeLiquidation
· 20h ago
If Middle Eastern supply losses truly persist, oil prices will soar, but demand side is even weaker.
View OriginalReply0
ReefUnderTheAurora
· 20h ago
Is the $90 forecast going to be lowered again? Demand is so weak, the bears are laughing happily.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropCheck-InOfficer
· 20h ago
Goldman Sachs' report says nothing, everyone knows about the two-way risks.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pinned