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2026-06-01 01:59:01

From 61% to 39% in just one day, the peace premium on Polymarket evaporated more cleanly than LUNA—sure enough, the market always understands better than you what "permanence" really means in terms of fragility.

LUNA-2.51%

View Original

MeNews2026-06-01 01:55:18

The likelihood of the US and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement decreases

ME News Report, April 19 (UTC+8), prediction market data shows that in the forecast "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 30, 2026?", the probability of the "Yes" option has decreased from 61.0% to 39.0%, a drop of 22.0 percentage points in one day.

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