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After I started recording daily gas anomalies and packing rhythm, the biggest change was not "being better at seizing opportunities," but rather that I am less easily carried away by narratives like parallelization/sharding. When things are lively, everyone is talking about throughput, TPS, and honestly my first reactions are still: where to place assets, who holds the permissions, how to exit if something goes wrong, is the bridge a single point of failure, will the withdrawal queue get clogged... these are the real things that can bite.
Recently, I also saw some regions tightening and relaxing taxes and compliance rules alternately, and the mood in the group clearly shifted. Expectations for deposits and withdrawals took a turn, and on-chain congestion changed its face accordingly. Anyway, I now trust my own records more: once I notice the "smoke," I go through the exit routes first, rather than waiting until I need to refer to documents.